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Not enough people are talking about THE biggest leading market indicator we have right now>>> Basic Macroeconomics tells us that when you import more than you export on a trade credit and the deficit cannot be financed on acceptable terms, this forces the balance of payments adjusted or otherwise be in disequilibrium; which the basic mechanisms of adjusting the balance of payments will not allow. So immediate action is required. Thus, the foreign exchange rate of the said country’s #currency needs to be devalued until the balance of payments adjusted equals zero. A weaker currency makes exports more profitable and imports more expensive. Therefore, exports should grow and imports should fall, thus correcting the deficit. However, if local exporters rely on imported components, the effect might be limited because their production costs will rise as well. And obviously if the cost of production for locally consumed products increases, so will the price for the consumer. A drastically weaker dollar, even higher prices across the board, more interest rate hikes, and we still haven’t addressed the inflation caused by the pandemic as of yet… Winter is coming. #bearish #nearfuture #bullish #longerterm #waitandsee #bullishbears #bond #tradedeficit #debt #debtavalanche $UDN $UUP $SPY $TLT $HYG @victoria @TIM2030 @ctsshah
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